Tuesday, June 20, 2017

Martial Law As A Tool of Economic Development

The biggest revelation last week regarding Marawi and marital law was that the government had prior knowledge of the impending attack.  SolGen Calida made the announcement and PNP Chief Bato confirmed it.

http://www.msn.com/en-ph/news/national/govt-had-prior-info-on-marawi-attack-bato-admits/ar-BBCBWtV?
Curiously the media has been silent on this issue.  The government admits they knew the attack was coming and no one wants to follow up on this?  Just something else for the memory hole.

We also learned last week that the USA is providing logistical support to the AFP.  Is this even a good thing?  Leni Robredo and China think so.

http://globalnation.inquirer.net/157953/robredo-china-welcome-us-military-aid-marawicaption

Militant partylist lawmakers urged President Rodrigo Duterte to sack Defense Secretary Delfin Lorenzana and National Security Adviser Hermogenes Esperon for allowing the Americans to intervene in the military operations in Marawi City without his approval. 
Partylist Representative Carlos Zarate of Bayan Muna also called for a congressional investigation into the “US meddling.” 
“This is very alarming and a shameless sellout of our sovereignty. The commander-in-chief himself does not know that his military and security officials have already asked assistance from a country that he has continually hit as a hypocrite and is only looking out for its own self-interest,” Zarate said.
Does Rep. Zarate realise that the USA has been providing logistical support in Mindanao for years?? Does he not know that Duterte asked for the USA's help back in April?



The Supreme Court has started hearings on the validity of martial law.  We learned that the AFP told Duterte that they had the situation under control.  This revelation underscores Dutrete's declaration that no one recommended martial law and that he called for it all on his own.


The AFP said three times that the situation was under control. Even twenty minutes before Duterte made his proclamation the AFP said the situation had stabilised and they were fully in control. This is only more proof that Duterte used this situation as a pretext to usher in his planned dictatorship.


No ruling yet by the Supreme Court but Duterte has vowed to withdraw all troops from Marawi if they rule there is no factual basis for martial law.

http://www.philstar.com/headlines/2017/06/19/1711603/marcos-copycat-martial-law-will-not-be-marcos-spokesmen-say
Duterte has vowed to pull out military troops in Marawi City if the Supreme Court decides that his martial law declaration in Mindanao has no factual basis. None of the petitions on martial law at the Supreme Court argue that security forces should not be deployed against the Maute local terror group that controls part of the city.

The president, however, warned that he would no longer listen to anyone if Mindanao is plagued anew with violence that would require him to declare martial law for the second time.

According to the president, the next martial law he would declare could be a “copycat” of that of ousted President Ferdinand Marcos, the late dictator who placed the entire country under military rule in 1972.
What a great leader. If the Supreme Court takes away his martial law then he will take away the troops and allow the area to descend into chaos just so he can declare martial law again and this time nationwide! Martial law is not needed to engage in military operations. For decades the AFP has been fighting communists and terrorists both with martial law under Marcos and without after the EDSA Revolution.

He would allow Mindanao to go up in flames just so he can have his dictatorship. And what about the people? This week we began to hear about the toll the situation is taking on ordinary civilians.


Raisah Labay gently cradles her newborn, a boy who was named Martial to mark her flight from a war-torn Philippine city and his birth under newly imposed military rule. 
“I named him Martial as a sign that he was born in the time of war,” Labay, 21, told AFP while seated on the bleachers of an evacuation camp in a nearby city. 
“During martial law, our lives collapsed. Someday I want to tell him about the painful ordeal I went through: going into labour while evacuating our family and telling myself: ‘No, don’t push him out yet’.”



All this horror because the government failed to act on knowledge it had of the impending attack.  All this fear because Duterte, on his own, decided to declare martial law.


And when will it end?  After 60 days?  

No timeline?  That's actually a good thing. Several times now the AFP have said the fighting is almost over.  Three more days.  By independence day. And now they have finally realised that they should concentrate on fighting rather than setting arbitrary deadlines.  We can be confident that martial law will end when everything is safe and secure.

Or can we?

Some people want martial law extended and for reasons that have nothing to do with terrorism.

http://newsinfo.inquirer.net/906260/alvarez-wants-martial-law-extended-till-2022
House Speaker Pantaleon Alvarez on Friday said that he was open to the idea of extending martial law in Mindanao until President Duterte steps down in 2022 to fast-track development and address the Marawi crisis and other peace and security problems in the region. 
Alvarez said the nearly month-old martial rule had been well-received by majority of the more than 20 million people in the Philippine south and that critics, particularly those who were not from Mindanao, had no reason to oppose or worry about it.
“I would like to extend this up to the end of the term of the President. My grounds: To really ensure the end of this conflict in Mindanao, and to fast-track the infrastructure projects. This is for our interest, isn’t it?” he said.
“They have to respect the will of the Mindanaoans. If that’s what we wanted why should [people outside Mindanao] meddle? We want [this region] to develop,” Alvarez told reporters. 
Fast-track development and infrastructure projects?? Is martial law now to be a tool of economic development? This is Alvarez's own opinion and it is a stupid and worthless opinion.  Martial law is not a tool of economic development.  It is a tool to be used to quell rebellions and repel invasions.

But how long will this remain only Alvarez's opinion? Seeing how he rammed through the Death Penalty Bill by bullying and threatening everyone to approve it, it is highly likely that he could do the same for extending martial law.

With men like Alvarez leading the country it's no wonder the Philippines remains a third world nation. 

Sunday, June 18, 2017

Don't Lend Filipinos Money

Ashley Madison Winners is (not the real name of) a lady I know who owns a small and seemingly profitable construction business.  Seemingly profitable because if it was not then she would have closed down by now.  Who runs an unprofitable business? And who would work for someone who can't pay them? And who spends a million pesos to buy a truck to use for a failing business?


Money to buy a new truck but no money to pay debts
A while ago a foreigner was persuaded to invest in her business.  He gave so much money and would get a slight return every month. This would go to support his fianceé while he was back in his home country preparing for her arrival.

Alas everything went sour and real fast.  Money was paid at first and then not at all. Calls and texts were made and promises of future payment agreed to but not much has come of it except frustrations and empty promises.

And that's that really. Just another cautionary tale in a land full of cautionary tales about lending money to people who simply will not repay the loan. Reminds me so much of Goodfellas.


  

Stewie and Brian also come to mind.




This is nothing new though.  In 1720 Gaspar de San Agustín wrote a letter detailing many of the characteristics of Filipinos. Even 300 years ago he knew to never lend a Filipino anything, especially money.
9. First, they are remarkable for their ingratitude; and although ingratitude is an innate vice in all people, through the corruption of original sin in our vitiated nature, it is not corrected in them by the understanding, and they lack magnanimity. Therefore, it is all one to do a good turn to an Indian, and to prepare oneself to receive the blow of his ingratitude. Consequently, if one lend them money, they do not pay it; but instead they run away from the father. Hence there is ground for scruples in regard to lending money to them; for that is a benefit from which evil must result, as they absent themselves and do not come to mass. 
So long as they receive, they kiss the hands of him who gives, and humble themselves with promises. But when it comes time to pay, they will beg for time (for they are beggars, and not givers); and they will utter tedious and complaining words, and the time is spent in vain. Even though one can pay, he can be got to do so only with great difficulty. 
10. If they borrow anything that is not money, they will never return it until it is requested; and, as an excuse for not having returned it; they say that they have not been asked for it.  

Saturday, June 17, 2017

The Signs of Leni Robredo

The 2016 elections have come and gone. Duterte is president and the Yellow party is out of power.  Leni Robredo lurks in the background with Bongbong Marcos hanging over her head casting a shadow of doubt on the validity of her election to the Vice Presidency.

But something else is hanging. 

It's garbage.  Political garbage.



Left over political campaign banners.

After the election the signs stayed up until the elements slowly wore them away. Tied to fences, plastered to electric poles they fluttered and flapped and slowly dissolved. Oh, the wind and rain!

And now here we are over a year later and these Mar/Leni signs are still up!

With all the hatred for Leni going around it's a wonder someone has not torn these down.  Seems like Filipino rage is only for Facebook and not real life.

Friday, June 16, 2017

Ban "Unli-Children", Not "Unli-Rice"

In an effort to get the Philippines healthy and on a fast track to rice independence Senator Cynthia Villar has proposed that restaurants stop offering unlimited rice.

http://news.abs-cbn.com/news/06/14/17/villar-urges-ban-on-unli-rice
Sen. Cynthia Villar on Wednesday called for a ban on the offering of unlimited rice servings or “unli-rice” in restaurants amid government efforts towards rice self-sufficiency.  
Villar, chair of the Senate committee on agriculture and food, made the call in a committee hearing as she urged food establishments to encourage people to eat more vegetables instead. 
How misguided is this lady?

Not to mention the micro-managing of restaurants of which the government has no business doing Senator Villar ignores the real problem facing the Philippines and their quest to provide enough rice to the people:

THE POPULATION!
What is the priority of our government? What is the priority of our Congress and the Senate? We have many problems and issues in this country but the most vital and pressing one has just been ignored – population. 

The root of our problems in this country stems from overpopulation. Isn’t it logical for government to address it first before anything else? Our population is expected to increase to 104 million this year from 102.4 million in 2015. 

We must understand that a rising population results in increasing congestion, pollution and environmental degradation. 
Everyday we complain about traffic, crowded streets, malls, and markets, crowded airports, crowded hospitals, crowded classrooms, poverty, squatters in big cities, etc. What about the more pressing concerns directly affecting the people like food scarcity, energy crisis and water shortages?
http://www.philstar.com/opinion/2016/01/11/1541322/population-explosion
We all know the lady down the street who has five children, no job, no husband or a husband with no job, and who struggles to feed her children.  Why is this allowed?  Where is the education system to tell Filipinos get a job, get married, THEN have children.

More children means more rice is needed to feed these children.  More land is needed to house these children, land that could be used to grow rice.  

How about stopping the high teen pregnancy rate?

http://www.philstar.com/headlines/2016/07/08/1600761/phl-teen-pregnancy-rate-highest-asia-study

The UN Population Fund says the Philippines is the only country in the Asia-Pacific region where the rate of teen pregnancies rose over the last two decades. 
A study says teen pregnancies, high youth unemployment and the slow decline of the overall fertility rate in the Philippines may deprive the country of the faster economic growth that usually comes from having more working-age people than younger and older dependents. 
UNFPA country representative Klaus Beck said Tuesday that Filipino girls aged 15 to 19 make up 10 percent of the population of 100 million, and one out of 10 of them have already given birth.
There are just too many mouths to feed.  Over 100 million of them.  Restaurants cook a lot of rice everyday and if someone doesn't eat it then it will go into the garbage.  Stopping restaurants from offering unlimited rice will not solve the rice problem.

Thankfully she realised that such a proposal is not tenable at all.

http://newsinfo.inquirer.net/905776/no-ban-on-unli-rice-villar
Senator Cynthia Villar quashed fears on Thursday that she would be proposing a ban on the serving of unlimited rice or unli-rice in restaurants and food outlets. 
“I am not planning to make a law banning ‘unli-rice.’ Not at all,” Senator Cynthia Villar said in a statement.

Wednesday, June 14, 2017

Why didn't Duterte Declare Martial Law in November 2016?

In November 2016 the Maute group occupied the city of Butig even going so far as to raise the flag of ISIS over the town hall.  

http://news.abs-cbn.com/news/11/27/16/army-presses-offensive-in-maute-held-lanao-town

The Armed Forces of the Philippines (AFP) pushed into Butig, Lanao Del Sur on Sunday, a day after the Maute Group, a terror organization behind the September bombing in Davao City, occupied Butig's town centre.
 
The AFP estimated that from 200 terrorists on Saturday, around 300 men armed with grenade launchers are now occupying the town. 
Though no direct link has yet been established with ISIS, the Maute group’s alleged leaders, brothers Omar and Abdullah Maute, have already pledged allegiance to the terrorist group and even use their name and symbol.


This coming five months after clashes between the AFP and Maute group in the same city, Butig.

http://newsinfo.inquirer.net/787973/govt-troops-kill-22-terror-group-members-in-lanao-del-sur
At least 22 members of a local terror group based in Butig, Lanao del Sur, had been killed in a series of clashes with government troops there since May 26, the military said on Saturday. 
Two soldiers were also slain and nine other government troopers had been injured in the clashes, according to Maj. Filemon Tan, the spokesperson of the military’s Western Mindanao Command based in Zamboanga City. 
Tan, whose unit has jurisdiction over Lanao del Sur and other areas of the Autonomous Region in Muslim Mindanao, said government forces launched a massive military operation in Butig against the Maute group. 

The group had allegedly professed allegiance to the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria or Isis.

This is the same thing that happened in Marawi City albeit on a smaller scale.  A city was occupied and the AFP was sent in to liberate the city.  But instead of following a scorched earth policy and ridding the Philippines of this group, the AFP ceased operations and a few months later the same scenario repeated itself.

So why didn't Duterte call declare martial law back in November?

Because he didn't feel like it.

Tuesday, June 13, 2017

Martial law: Duterte Had Prior Knowledge

Week three of marital law started off with another pep talk by Commander-in-Chief Duterte encouraging the AFP to not be afraid to do its job.

http://www.philstar.com/headlines/2017/06/06/1707466/dont-be-afraid-do-your-jobs-troops-told-amid-challenges-martial-law
And what an inspiring talk it must have been because first the AFP found the money:
So the AFP has the Matue group on the run.  But who gave them 79 million pesos in checks and cash?  Who armed them? Justice Secretary Aguirre thinks there is a vast conspiracy headed by the likes of Senators Bam Aquino and Antonio Trillanes along with other opposition leaders to destabilise the government. The theory goes that the Yellow party is arming and funding the Muslim terrorists and using them to throw the country into chaos and discredit Duterte.

http://www.philstar.com:8080/headlines/2017/06/09/1708329/after-photo-blunder-aguirre-orders-probe-destabilization-plot

Duterte assured the nation once again that declaring martial law was not meant to prolong his stay in power.
Is anybody reassured by his reassurances?  He said he would declare martial law.  Then he said he wouldn't do it. Then he did it.  Surely he won't prematurely end the declaration of martial law before Marawi has been reclaimed. But when will the AFP finally retake Marawi?

http://www.philstar.com/headlines/2017/06/09/1708325/end-marawi-siege-eyed-independence-day-maute-further-weaken

A bit premature. How about the AFP just focus on the fight and forget about arbitrary deadlines? The enemy is deadly and they do not have a timetable for victory.  They will fight to the last man. It's what they have been ordered to do by the leader of ISIS himself, Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi.


http://www.philstar.com/headlines/2017/06/12/1709209/leader-ordered-marawi-siege-rody
“We had known all along the buildup here in Marawi. That is why if you were tracking my statements in public, (what I said) was, ‘Do not force my hand into it.’ Because there were already terroristic acts… the victims were innocent men and women and children,” Duterte said. 
Duterte claimed that the drug problem was used to divert the government’s attention away from the terrorists. 
“Sabi ko, nilululong mga tao natin sa droga. Dito sa Mindanao, ’yung Maute, simpleng pangkaraniwang negosyante. ’Yun pala, sige sila produce ng shabu para magkaroon ng problema ang gobyerno at ma-divert ating attention (They are trying to make drug addicts out of our people. In Mindanao, we thought that the Mautes were just simple businessmen. It turned out, they were producing shabu, so the government can have a problem and be distracted),” he said. 
“So, habulin natin ang drugs, pero ’di natin alam na what was fueling, ang nagbibigay ng gasolina sa terrorism ay ang droga (So, let us chase drugs but we did not know, what was fueling terrorism is drugs).”
So the government knew about the terrorist problem in Marawi but it turns out that ISIS was manufacturing shabu to addict the people so the government would wage a war on drugs and get distracted from the ISIS problem which the government knew was already there but repeatedly did nothing about??

Are we really supposed to believe such patent nonsense??  Especially when the government now claims to have known that a siege on Marawi was being planned at least a week before it happened!!??


http://newsinfo.inquirer.net/904802/solgen-govt-had-advance-info-on-marawi-siege
As early as May 18, the government already received information that the local terrorist group Maute is planning to raze Marawi City, hoist the ISIS flag and declare Marawi as an Islamic territory.
What else is the government lying about?  What else are they hiding from the public?


Are we really supposed to believe that Duterte did not know the USA is helping out in the fight against terrorism?  He said back in April that the USA should help fight terrorism!  http://philippinefails.blogspot.com/2017/04/duterte-says-hello-america.html

What is going on in Mindanao and what is happening in the halls of Malacañang Palace?  Statecraft and stagecraft on an unprecedented level that Filipinos are not used to and which has easily led them to believe anything Duterte tells them.

Monday, June 12, 2017

NY Times Is Wrong. Duterte Knew About ISIS and Let the Problem Grow

The New York Times, perennial thorn in Duterete's side, has given him another prick.


https://www.nytimes.com/2017/06/10/world/asia/duterte-philippines-isis-marawi.html?_r=0
A president who has focused on a deadly antidrug campaign that has claimed the lives of thousands of Filipinos seems to have been caught unprepared for a militant threat that has been festering in the south for years. 
“The government has largely been in denial about the growth of ISIS and affiliated groups,” said Zachary M. Abuza, a professor at the National War College in Washington who specializes in Southeast Asian security issues. “Duterte has been preoccupied with his campaign of gutting the rule of law by using police and other security forces for the extrajudicial killing of drug pushers.”
This is a half-truth.  While it's true the AFP has been caught with its pants down even though they have been battling Muslims terrorist groups for the the past few decades, Duterte was fully aware of the growing threat of ISIS.

http://globalnation.inquirer.net/150199/duterte-isis-creeping-ph-maute-group


http://www.reuters.com/article/us-philippines-security-idUSKBN1390U4

Duterte knew full well the threat of ISIS.  The man is from Mindanao.  He is no fool.  But tucked deep in that New York Times article is the key to the whole matter.
Historic grievances among the Muslim Moro people there, widespread poverty and large lawless areas have helped create an opportunity for the Islamic State. A peace process pursued by Mr. Duterte’s predecessor, President Benigno S. Aquino III, faltered in 2015 and has remained deadlocked under Mr. Duterte. 
“It was not the spread of ISIS in Iraq and Syria that fueled ISIS cells in the Philippines, but the collapse of the peace process,” said Mr. Abuza of the National War College.
EXACTLY!  

The peace process has failed. And it has failed on purpose.  Duterte was never going give the Muslims Mindanao.  The BBL would destroy Philippine sovereignty in the region.  Besides that the Muslims have killed too many innocents over the years for any sane man to give them the large island of Mindanao. The Day of Reckoning must come for the Muslims who have spilled rivers of blood over the years.

Duterte said in 2015 before he entered the presidential race that he would run a a dictatorship.

http://www.rappler.com/nation/politics/elections/2016/110679-duterte-contradictions-dictatorship

He said in January 2017 that he would declare marital law if he wanted too.

http://www.rappler.com/nation/158376-duterte-declare-martial-law-want-to

And this is EXACTLY what he did in May.  

http://cnnphilippines.com/news/2017/05/31/duterte-no-one-recommended-martial-law-declaration.html
It's not such a convoluted plan. Duterte initiated a phoney peace process with the communists and the Muslims and let the ISIS problem grow until the inevitable turning point came when it all descended into chaos and he would have moral authority to declare martial law.  It's what he said he would do before he even entered the presidential race.  It's what he said he would do in January 2017. And now that martial law is in Mindanao it is not going anywhere anytime soon.

http://news.abs-cbn.com/news/05/31/17/mindanao-needs-martial-law-even-if-military-can-contain-maute-lorenzana
I have written a longer and more detailed history of this plan that can be read here:  http://philippinefails.blogspot.com/2017/06/martial-law-was-always-dutertes-plan.html

Please read through that article and realise that for Duterte, marital law was always the plan.