Wednesday, October 11, 2017

36 Homicides Per Day

Time for a flashback with Sen. Cayetano

September 2016:

http://news.abs-cbn.com/news/09/19/16/cayetano-ph-becoming-more-like-singapore
September 2017:
https://www.rappler.com/nation/181553-cayetano-public-safety-philippines-safe-singapore
Sen. Cayetano, if you do not know, is an ardent supporter and defender of the Duterte administration. He is also a retard. Quite possibly the biggest retard in the Senate.  But the competition is close.



What makes him, and others like him, a retard is that his lack of honesty about the reality of the situation in the Philippines is holding the Philippines back from solving its problems. Problems must first be addressed before they can be solved. What is the situation in the Philippines at the moment?  Not good.

http://www.gmanetwork.com/news/news/nation/627563/only-2-5-of-homicide-cases-are-drug-related-says-pnp/story/
Only 2.5 percent of the 15,911 homicide cases in the country are drug-related, the Philippine National Police said Thursday, amid criticisms that many of the killings are related to the government’s campaign against illegal drugs. 
Senior Superintendent Benjamin Adelio Castillo, chief of the Directorate for Investigation and Detective Management's Case Monitoring Division, said that of the 15,911 homicide cases they recorded from July 1, 2016 to September 15, 2017, a total of 6,129 have already been resolved while 9,782 are still under investigation.
Of the 6,129 "resolved" cases, 3,475 are considered solved with the arrest of the suspect while 2,654 are cleared with suspect already identified. 
Of the solved cases, 120 (or only 0.75 percent of 15,911) are drug-related, the PNP said.
Of the cleared cases, 278 (or only 1.74 percent of 15,911) are drug-related. 
Based on the PNP's records, 1,685 homicides are the result of heated arguments or misunderstandings; 1,273 are due to personal grudges; 84 are considered atrocities by threat groups; 69 are due to land disputes; and three are activist or media killings.
This is plain crazy. July 1, 2016 to September 15, 2017 is 442 days. 15,911 homicides in this timeframe equates to 36 homicides EVERY SINGLE DAY!!

This is not acceptable at all.  For all the talk about the Philippines being not so unlike Singapore or able to adopt a Singapore model they sure aren't doing a good job.
http://www.straitstimes.com/singapore/courts-crime/5-killings-in-2-weeks-police-say-offenders-will-face-the-full-brunt-of-the
In the wake of the recent spate of killings, Deputy Commissioner of Police for investigations and intelligence Tan Chye Hee has said the police will spare no effort to trace the offenders. He added that the police are committed to keeping Singapore safe and offenders will "face the full brunt of the law".
Five murders in the space of two weeks in Singapore is a crimewave!  Take a look at some statistics for murder in Singapore between 2003 - 2014.
https://knoema.com/atlas/Singapore/topics/Crime-Statistics/Homicides/Homicides
225 murders in 11 years which is 4,015 days which is .05 murders a day. That's an average of 20 murders a year.

Compare that to the same time for the Philippines.
https://knoema.com/atlas/Philippines/topics/Crime-Statistics/Homicides/Homicides
88,301 murders in 11 years which is 4,015 days which is 22 murders a day! That's an average of 8,027 murders a year! The reason the PNP is giving the public these statistics that 15,911 murders occurred in 14.5 months and only 2.5% were drug related is to relieve the fears of the public that many of the killings are related to the government’s campaign against illegal drugs. Is the public supposed to be overjoyed at these numbers??  
Carlos said the homicide cases they presented do not include those killed in police operations. 
“Ito po ay krimen nagaganap sa lansangan,” he said. 
According to the PNP spokesperson, 3,850 drug suspects died in police operations in the same period of July 1, 2016 to September 15, 2017.
A combined total of 19,761 people dead in police operations and homicides.


  1. Activist/Media Killing  - 3
  2. Heated Argument/Misunderstanding - 1,685
  3. Personal Grudge - 1,273
  4. Land Dispute - 69
  5. Love Triangle - 44
  6. Family Dispute/Rido - 39
  7. Work Related 13
  8. Atrocities by Threat Group - 84
  9. Political - 3
  10. Business Rivalry - 2
  11. Revenge - 62
  12. Jealousy - 49
  13. Personal gain - 121
  14. Hatred - 15
  15. Duel - 21
  16. Road Rage - 7
  17. Unpaid Debt - 7
  18. Lust - 14
  19. Jail Break -1
  20. Indiscriminate Firing/Stray Bullet - 24
  21. Self Defence - 40
  22. Negligence - 18
It's dangerous out there. 

http://newsinfo.inquirer.net/936805/dr-amalai-senada-gutierrez-shot-dead-cotabato-city

http://newsinfo.inquirer.net/936742/breaking-crime-mandaluyong-godofredo-goody-tolentino
In Singapore one does not have to worry about being shot and killed by masked gunmen riding up on a motorcycle. 

9,782 homicides out of 15,911 remain unsolved.  That's 61%.


Only 22% or 3,475 cases have been solved which means that a suspect has been arrested. 17% or 2,654 cases have been cleared which means they have a suspect but have not arrested him yet. So why haven't these known suspects been arrested? What's the problem?

With impunity high in the Philippines it is likely that killers known and unknown will never be brought to justice. Mocha Uson's father was murdered in 2002 and 15 years later his killers have still not been brought to justice.

http://news.abs-cbn.com/news/09/22/17/philippines-has-worst-impunity-in-the-world-study
People make a nation and a nation full of people who will kill over heated arguments and misunderstandings will never become as prosperous as Singapore.  Much blame is to be laid on the shoulders of the PNP and NBI who lack resources and impetus to track down murderers but not all of the blame falls on their shoulders. Filipinos are also to blame. Nobody forces anyone to commit murder.

But perhaps there is nothing to worry about really since murder cases have dropped. 

http://news.abs-cbn.com/news/10/10/17/murder-cases-drop-in-2017-says-pnp
Citing reported gains of its "intensified campaign" against crime, illegal drugs and corruption, the PNP said murder cases dropped 7.98% year on year, comparing the first eight months of 2016 and 2017. 
Wow a whopping 7.98% drop in murder in one year.  Maybe it will keep dropping and the Philippines will be practically murder free just like Iceland or Singapore.  Before you get too optimistic let me show you the eleven year trend from 2003 - 2014 again.

Since this table only goes to 2014 here is the data for 2015.

http://www.pnp.gov.ph/images/publications/PNPAnnualReport2015_opt_opt.pdf

9,643 cases of murder and 997 cases of cattle rustling.  It's literally like the wild west here in the Philippines.


Here are some statistics for 2016.

http://news.abs-cbn.com/news/12/19/16/pnp-crime-rate-down-but-murder-rate-up
The overall index crime rate went down but the murder rate soared during the first 5 months of the administration of President Rodrigo Duterte, according to latest figures from the Philippine National Police (PNP). 
The Presidential Communications Office, in a press release, said PNP figures showed the index crime volume declining to 55,391 from July-November this year, compared to 81,064 from July-November 2015, or a drop of 31.67 percent. 
Communications Secretary Martin Andanar claimed that this shows that the Philippines "is now a safer place". 
The same PNP data, however, shows that murder cases went up 51.14 percent, from 3,950 in 2015 to 5,970 in the same period.
In December the murder trend was on the up. What was the final total for 2016?

http://www.pnp.gov.ph/images/Downloads/Annual-Report-2016-FINAL-COPY.pdf

An astounding 11,385 murders in 2016. 31 murders a day in 2016. 1,742 more murders than in 2015. Cattle rustling is down though. By 553 instances.

These numbers are horrendous. It's an absolute bloodbath here in the Philippines. And these calculations have not included homicide because, strictly speaking, homicide is not necessarily murder.  Accidents happen all the time. Let's end this article where we began.  With Sen. Cayetano.

http://www.philstar.com/headlines/2017/05/09/1698283/pnp-figures-give-credence-cayetano-claim-killings
There were an average of 12,357 murder and homicide cases in the Philippines from 2011 to 2016, giving credence to Sen. Alan Peter Cayetano's claim in Geneva that the number of killings under the Duterte administration are not unusually high. 
On Monday, Cayetano told members of the UN Human Rights Council that "killings in the Philippines in the previous administrations varied from a low of 11,000 to a high of 16,000" and that recent numbers—10,165 murders and homicides between July 2016 and March 2017, according to the police—are within the average. 
"In 2013, the highest was 16,000. The lowest in 2012," he has been quoted as saying. 
PNP data lists 9,072 murders and 6,409 homicides in 2013, a total of 15,481 cases. That year had the most cases of killings, while 2014 had the fewest cases—5,004 murders and 4,091 homicides, according to the PNP-Directorate for Investigation and Detective Management—with 9,095. 
In March, Cayetano claimed in a radio interview that there had been around 70,000 killings during the administration of President Benigno Aquino III, an erstwhile ally under whose administration slate the senator ran for reelection in 2013. 
"There are extrajudicial killings but these are not state-sponsored. There have been 10,000 to 14,000 every year or about 70,000 during the entire Aquino administration," he said then. 
According to data released on the PNP website, there were 8,489 murders and 3,375 homicides in 2011 or a total of 11,864. In 2012, there were 8,484 murders and 3,022 homicide cases, or 11,506 killings. 
The number of killings went up in 2013 and dropped the year after that. There were 12,478 killings in 2015—9,643 murders and 2,835. 
The next year, 2016, was bloodier still with 11,385 murders and 2,337 homicides or 13,722 killings in all.
As Tom Jones said, "It's not unusual to be murdered by anyone."

That Sen. Cayetano can cite these numbers in defence of the rise in murder under the Duterte administration saying with a straight face they are not unusual is proof positive that the Philippines is nowhere near to being like Singapore. An average of 12,357 murder and homicide cases from 2011 to 2016 in the Philippines while Singapore, sticking with the statistics previously posted, from 2011 - 2014 had an average of 14.5 murders a year.  No doubt this did not change significantly in 2015 or 2016.  

Now the PNP wants us to believe that a 7.98% reduction in the murder rate between January and August, a mere 554 less cases, is to be celebrated because it is proof that peace and order has improved since they began waging a stringent campaign against criminality. What a ridiculous notion. Sure any drop in crime is a good thing but a drop in the murder rate is not the trend. Between 2012 and 2017 the murder rate has steadily risen. Any significant drop, say 15 - 20% would be a miracle and therefore unlikely to happen.

What the Philippines needs to do is stop worrying about Europe and Singapore and focus on it's very own problems. Federalism will neither stop the corruption in government nor lower the murder rate.  People make up governments and nations. Did Lee Kuan Yew carry a pistol and challenge his political opponents to duels like Duterte has? The Philippines will never be like Singapore no matter what system of government it has unless the character of the people changes. Change yourself and then change the nation.

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